Council for the National Interest

Iranian Statistic in Line with Others: Did Washington Post Columnist Cherry-Pick Estimates on Israel Nukes?

May 2 2015 / 1:24 pm

“Fact Checker” columnist condemns Iranian Foreign Minister Zarif for saying Israel has 400 nukes, even though many other respected sources concur  with this estimate

Alison Weir, CounterPunch – Washington Post “Fact Checker” columnist Glenn Kessler chastizes Iran’s Foreign Minister for saying that Israel has 400 nuclear weapons.

Specifically, Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said: “It’s laughable that Netanyahu has become everybody’s nonproliferation guru. He is sitting on 400 nuclear warheads, nuclear warheads that have been acquired in violation of the NPT.”

In an otherwise valuable article, Kessler uses omission to make the claim of 400 nuclear weapons sound unwarranted, concluding “… his figure is more than double the median for the most recent estimate, and five times higher than another credible estimate. Zarif could make his political point without inflating the numbers. He earns Two Pinocchios.”

However, it appears that perhaps the Pinocchios should actually go to Kessler himself for omitting many reports on the subject, thus skewing the numbers.

For instance, A 2009 study by U.S. think tank Center for Strategic and International Studies stated that an Israeli “stockpile of up to 300-400 weapons is possible.”

A report by Col. Warren Farr from the United States Air Force Center for Unconventional Weapons Studies stated that in 1997 Israel had “400 deliverable thermonuclear and nuclear weapons.”

An Israeli analyst wrote in 2012 that Israel has 100-400 nuclear warheads.

In a 2012 Time Magazine interview, former U.S. President Jimmy Carter placed the number at “around 300” nuclear weapons.

The Israel Country Study Guide, Volume 1 Strategic Information and Developments, states: “Israel nuclear might is commonly estimated as moving between 200 to 400 nuclear warheads.”

The U.K. Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament reports on its website: “Israel is thought to have between 100 and 400 nuclear weapons.”

And Middle East expert Juan Cole wrote in 2012, “Israel is thought to have 400 atom bombs.”

I could go on and on.

Given this expanded context, Zarif’s claim no longer looks as outlandish as Kessler makes it out to be. In fact, many others say the same thing.

Two Pinocchios for Glenn Kessler.


Alison Weir is the president of the Council for the National Interest and executive director of If Americans Knew. She is the author of  Against Our Better Judgment: How the US was Used to Create Israel.


Full transcript from which Zarif’s quote was taken.

 

Posted by on May 2 2015 . Filed under Alison Weir, CNI Authors, Commentary & Analysis, Featured articles, Iran, Media distortion . You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 . Both comments and pings are currently closed.

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